Friday, July 9, 2010

LeBron To Miami: So Refreshing, So Naive

I was duped. I really believed LeBron was going to stay in Cleveland. Looking back, just two hours after he announced his decision on national TV, I guess it never made sense. The only reason to stay in Cleveland was out of loyalty to his home state and his fans. The Cavs had no resources in place to ensure that they could compete for a title in the near future. The last three years (no Finals appearances) have proved that LeBron can't do it on his own, and the Cavs hadn't exactly stockpiled young talent to give LeBron any sense of a nucleus he could grow with. But, I had also duped myself into believing that staying with the home team, the team that drafted him, the only NBA team he had ever known, the team he singlehandedly lifted out of the dredges of Lake Erie, was the only noble action he could take.

Don't get me wrong, the manner in which he broke Clevelanders' hearts was cruel and unusual. There was no call to embarrass them on live TV. Would you announce a divorce of a 7-year marriage in front of millions of viewers? Sure, he would eventually have to have the awkward press conference where he discussed his hand-wringing decision, but he didn't have to throw himself a day-long media circus before jabbing his jilted lover in the back. On the other hand, if you're a Cleveland fan, when the emotional (and literal) flames have been put out, you'll probably appreciate the following:

A) He legitimately went to a team that has the major pieces in place for a dynasty. I don't necessarily believe that the Heat are a shoo-in for 4 or 5 titles in the next 5 years, but it's not like he left Cleveland for the Nets or Clippers.

B) He didn't go to the Knicks. There's no doubt Cleveland fans' insecurity as a sports city and a city in general runs deep. And they get it: they're David, New York is Goliath. They're the faithful wife, New York is the vapid supermodel. Nobody wants to get dumped for the supermodel. It's just too painful. As much as the NBA's salary structure ensured that Cleveland could offer the most money, leaving for New York would have been about money. It would have been the chance to pursue all the endorsements and global icon status that the title of King of New York would have been privy to. It would have been about trying to become the "billionaire athlete," not a champion.

C) He didn't go to Chicago. Losing your star player, nay, your reason for being, to a division rival might be too much to bear. Playing each other at least 4 times a year, watching LeBron take home division title after division title at your expense year after year, that would be a kick in the gut. I thought LeBron's best chance at multiple titles and sole glory was to team up with Derick Rose, Carlos Boozer, Luol Deng and Joakim Noah in Chicago. That's a sick starting five, and there's no doubt who the alpha dog is there. In Miami, Dwayne Wade is the King and LeBron will be petulantly seeking the crown the whole time he's there. Still, Miami is in the same conference and Cleveland has no chance of making the playoffs without LeBron anyway, so it probably doesn't matter, but the sting would be especially painful if he went to the Bulls. However, a bitter Dan Gilbert, owner of the Cavs, has gone on record to guarantee an NBA championship before LeBron's Heat win one. Incredible. Clearly, this man has lost touch with reality, but I also hope he's right.

That's it. Those are the only three reasons I can come up with for Cleveland to feel good about itself in its moment of agony. If they want to add another irrational level of self-loathing, they can talk themselves into the bitterness of interpreting LeBron's feelings about Cleveland as a city so degrading that he left over $30 million on the table just to get away from the place. It's like a man leaving a woman right after she got a boob job- and taking the boobs with him.

However, what is refreshing is that in an era of egos and money-grabbing, three stars who could each have commanded the maximum salary on their own teams have decided to take less money (albeit in an income tax-free state) to chase their goal of winning championships together. I don't think it will be that easy, but I admire the idea. It almost never happens in baseball because the players union would never allow it, and there's no salary cap, anyway. It sometimes happens in football, but almost always in the form of a "hometown discount," not in a new free agent situation. Sure, LeBron will be making something like $16 million, instead of $20 million if he had signed with, say, Chicago. He'll still be able to live and feed his children. But, in a league and a culture where money has a tendency to define people, Wade, LeBron and Chris Bosh have each chosen to forgo "max status" to build a championship team together. Or, possibly to chase girls on South Beach together.

The irony, however, is that even with taking less money for themselves, their team is left in an awkward position of having 25% of the roster take up 95% of the salary cap space. The Heat are now going to have to find 9 guys to play for the minimum to help the new Big Three succeed. Two of them are going to have to starters. The bench is not going to be impressive. Add an injury here or there to just one of the triumverate and you could be looking at some version of the Phoenix Suns of the past decade. Very good, but not great. And I really don't believe that Wade and James can coexist as teammates for an extended period. One of them is going to want to be the man and when one of them isn't, it's going to be a full-on ugly diva show.

I feel bad for Cleveland. I really do. I don't know how they bounce back from this. I don't know who they convince to play there from the free agent market. They only got LeBron in the first place because they were so terrible and they won the draft lottery for the right to choose him with the #1 pick. They're probably going to be terrible again. This isn't college. You can't win an NBA title with 5 guys who just make a great team, with the 2004 Pistons being the rarest of exceptions. As a Celtics fan, I'm not as concerned about Miami as I would have been in LeBron had joined the Bulls. The Heat may win a title or two, but they won't have a chokehold on the Eastern Conference the entire time. Good luck, LeBron. You'll need it.

Saturday, June 19, 2010

doubleplaycraig Is Now on Twitter!

Want to hear my quick takes on various sports topics while waiting for my next in-depth blog post? Follow me on Twitter at https://twitter.com/doubleplaycraig
For each new follower, DPC will donate one eye to the USA-Slovenia referee.

Friday, June 11, 2010

World Cup Fever is Back

"Four pounds?!" I did some quick calculation. I had landed in London just a few hours before, delirious from the bizarrely fortunate flight, the time change, and the excitement of my first trip to England. "That's like six bucks! Just to get into a restaurant at 2:30 in the afternoon? What the hell is going on?" But, Dan and I were hungry, had been traipsing around the financial district and the Tower of London for far too long to find a bite to eat. We handed over the money, grumbling miserably to ourselves. Then all hell broke loose.

Dan and I had recently graduated from college and had planned to take a month-long trip around Europe with our friend Justin, who would meet us a few days later. Our trip would take us to Scotland, France, Spain and Italy and back to France again. Dan had arrived in London the day before and had gotten his bearings a bit, but was still not altogether with it. I had just fastened my seat belt in my coach seat on Virgin Atlantic next to an annoying couple when a flight attendant asked me if I was indeed Craig Weiner and if I would please take my belongings and follow her to my new first class seat, where I proceeded to refuse an offer of the services of a on-board masseuse before realizing too late that I had theoretically paid $3,000 for that massage and that I would not have to pay for it. If either Dan or I had been the least bit tuned in to the world around us, we would have prepared for the obvious. When we walked in that restaurant with the four pound cover charge, we realized that it was, in fact, a pub packed to the max with fans awaiting the impending kickoff of the England-Tunisia game, the first match for both teams in the 1998 World Cup. On this day, we received an education.

Soccer was by no means foreign to me. I had attended the '94 World Cup in the U.S. I grew up playing youth soccer in Florida, following my big brother's footsteps onto the varsity soccer team in high school as a sophomore, playing for a few travel all-star teams in the off-season, and even spending one summer at a soccer camp in Michigan. I played goalkeeper. I thought I was fine at it. I taught myself how to overcome my average punting by developing a drop-kick, which I would crush 70 yards about as often as I would shank sideways out of bounds. I got a rush out of taking charge of the defense, and probably never felt more confident about anything as a teenager than I did when I was positioning my fullbacks and telling them to clear the f@&king ball out of the box. I enjoyed the game and I enjoyed being a part of a team. I hated long-distance running during practice and I hated the politics of playing time. I never played again after eleventh grade.

But, I was still a fan of the game. I knew the World Cup was in France that year, but I didn't really care about anything other than Team USA. Until that fateful late lunch in London. After getting a strange look from the bartender while trying to tip him for my beer, things went more smoothly. Kickoff was still at least an hour away, but the pre-match commentary audio was cranked up high on the large pull-down projection screen in the back of the bar, and there was plenty of chatter from the Englishmen surrounding us. Teddy Sheringham and Alan Shearer were the established strikers, but all eyes were on the young phenom Michael Owen. David Beckham was on his way to god-like status as a playmaker in the midfield. A young woman at a bar later that night told me that she had semen in her pocket, and then pulled out a photograph of David Seaman, revered goalkeeper of the national team. Songs of indeterminate lyrics were sung, and English goals were cheered with such fervor that I would not bet against the finding of semen in the pockets of many a pair of pants that afternoon. From that moment on, I was hooked on the English national team.

Saturday, the U.S. plays England in their first match of the World Cup in South Africa. There are no torn loyalties. I am a U.S. man all the way. Even though Landon Donovan strikes me as a player I would probably hate if he played for another country or a rival club team (if I had a favorite club team), even though I think our defense is suspect and even though I can't pinpoint any particular exciting playing style to our team, I'm an American and this one of the few instances in which we are an underdog anymore. If the English advance beyond the Americans, I will be rooting for them, but the match on Saturday could be a turning point for the way American soccer is perceived by the rest of the world. Even though the U.S. beat Spain on the way to a narrow championship game loss to Brazil in the Confederations Cup last summer, we won't be taken seriously until we consistently advance to the quarterfinals of the World Cup. Beating England would go a long way toward that goal, but it's not the endgame. Sure, it would be fantastic to have the respect of the English, but it's more important to advance far into the tournament and to do it again in 2014 in Brazil. Only then will the U.S. be considered a force to be reckoned with on the international soccer scene.

I watched the opening matches on Friday at home, thinking back to my experience in Orlando in '94 and Europe in '98, which included another accidental appearance at a beach viewing party on a jumbo screen of a France match in Marseilles, and the unfortunate timing of our arrival in Paris, 24 hours after France had won it all, arriving on the Champs Elysees ready for revelry, only to find it completely spent, save for a few strays, sleeping it off. I remembered the challenge of Japan/South Korea in 2002, deciding whether to wake up at 3:00 a.m. to watch a match, or to just stay up all night, and the cool beers of a warm summer afternoon, standing outside a sidewalk cafe to catch games during Germany '06.

The World Cup for me is about a melding of cultures coming together to watch the beautiful game, even if most Americans don't understand it. It's a time for us Americans to take a step back and appreciate how the rest of the world follows sports. It's a time when we Americans can admit that we are not the best at something, and observe how other nations and cultures excel. But, at least we are a part of the experience, learning how to get better, and that's an American spirit I can be proud of. And if we can do it without picking up the horrendous habit of flopping to draw a non-existent foul, so much the better.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

You Can't Be Twenty At Churchill Downs, Son

After a whirlwind 30 hours in Louisville, I am exhilarated and exhausted. Sunday night I came home and went to bed at 8:30 p.m., giggling about one of many silly things that had happened during my journey with Jim and Perry to the Derby. Pictures below this post.

Once I arrived at the gate at LaGuardia airport Friday morning, I met up with Jim, who passed along word that Perry's flight had been rerouted and that he would only be arriving 30 minutes before us, and thus would not have time to go to the store to pick up the supplies we needed for Churchill Downs. Fortunately, however, we landed in Indy 20 minutes ahead of schedule and were in Perry's rental car, ready to roll at 11:00 a.m. Oaks day at Churchill was already underway, but there was still time to catch Rachel Alexandra in her race, scheduled for 1:26 p.m. We zoomed down I-65 in search of a Walmart, but didn't find one until we reached Southern Indiana, near the Kentucky border, and less than 10 miles from the track. Unfortunately, we had run into traffic and even without the 20 minute stop to pick up cheap folding chairs, beer, ice and a cooler, we would have been too late to see Rachel. We missed her by half an hour. And it turned out that she lost by a head to Unrivaled Belle.

We parked in the University of Louisville football stadium parking lot, carried a beer or two with us for the 15 minute walk over the bridge and to the Churchill Downs gate. If there is an open-container policy in Louisville, I'm not aware of it, though there were plenty of police directing traffic. Friday is Oaks day at Churchill Downs on Derby weekend, and attendees were dressed in pink in support of Breast Cancer Awareness. Lots of women in pink and black dresses, with pink wide-brimmed hats were enjoying the absolutely gorgeous sunny, 85 degree day. It was almost too warm, with several people willing to trade breast cancer for skin cancer. One kind woman sitting next to us offered us her sunscreen. At one point, it was so hot, a man in jeans tried in vain to buy another man's shorts.

We added our recyclable containers to the collection forming on a barricade outside Gate 3, paid $40 cash (for which we received neither commemorative ticket nor hand stamp) and descended into the tunnel that separates the wheat from the chaff. While I am certain that there is a hierarchy among those in the grandstands and suites, for our purposes Churchill Downs was separated by those in the infield and those with seats. Denizens of the infield are the great unwashed: blue-collar folks with families, college students and others unable or unwilling to pay hundreds of dollars to sit in the grandstands and suites. The view isn't great, but the atmosphere is spectacular. The infield is massive with some paved paths criss-crossing through and around wide swaths of green grass and light brown dirt. In the center, there is a fairly large permanent restroom structure, which I never entered, surrounded by temporary food, drink and souvenir vendor stations, some no bigger than a couple of tables put together under a canopy, and others that looked like parked RVs, doling out generic fare such as funnel cakes, sausages, pizza and beer. The only items that appeared to be unique to the location were the mint juleps and the lillies, the official drink of Oaks day. It promised to be a long weekend, so I decided one ceremonial alcoholic drink would be sufficient before moving onto light beer (no microbrews here- only the big boys). Since it was Oaks day, I opted to save the mint julep for Derby day and ordered a lilly, which was a rather fruity, dark red concoction with an indistinct alcohol and a raspberry floating on top. Juleps were decidedly stronger, with a sugary sweetness paving the way for the smooth bourbon resting in the bottom of the glass, and a large stalk of fresh mint sticking out of the rim. Each drink came in its own commemorative glass. You can't bring your own glass to Churchill, but they are happy to supply you themselves. Lillies ran $9 while juleps cost $10. Beers were $7 for a 16 ounce can. Nothing like the comforts of New York-priced beverages to make me feel at home in Kentucky. A far cry from the legendary days of being able to bring in your own kegs.

Drinks in hand, we searched for our spot near turn 3, where we would be able to the horses jockeying for position just before the homestretch. We found an uninhabited plot of land within sight of the large screen that showed the betting odds and racing and settled into our new folding chairs. From this moment, around 2:00 p.m., until the last race of the day around 7:00 p.m., Jim, Perry and I would engage in a repetitive ritual of doping the racing form, debating the best horse and the best bet (not the same thing, as I so cruelly found out), sipping beverages, chatting with neighboring celebrants- many of whom were well-versed in Southern hospitality and charm, glancing at the betting boards to see the changing odds, making our way to the betting windows and then getting back to our makeshift camp in time to watch the race on the screen until the horses whizzed past on the third turn and then turning our attention back to the big screen to witness the exciting conclusion, and (in my case) cursing the bastard horse who had failed to make my early retirement dreams come true.

Scouring the racing form is a tricky business and as much objective information as you are given, there is plenty of room for interpretation, error, and the capriciousness of an animal that would probably rather be gnawing on hay than racing around in an oval on dirt. The biggest horse evaluation argument between Jim and Perry (both far more qualified and experienced aficionados than I) was the relevancy of time. Perry would point to a horse finishing a previous mile and an eighth race in one minute and 47 seconds and another horse finishing the same length in a different race in one minute and 49 seconds and conclude that the first horse was faster. Jim would counter that a horse (and jockey) only goes as fast as it needs to in order to win, so the jockey may have pulled up the horse toward the end of a five length victory in order to save some energy. The trouble, however, is that unless you've watched the race, there is no way of determining whether the horse slowed down on purpose or not. So, it's a gut feeling, or, at best, an educated guess based on the trainer's style, the jockey's reputation and common sense. In any case, I tended to ignore the times as well, instead focusing on how often the horse won or was in the money and how far off the lead he or she was, as well as what kind of competition the horse was in for previous races. Whatever I tried, however, didn't work. I pulled an 0-fer on Friday.

Some races were for maidens (horses that have never won a race) or horses that have never run a race. Sure, there are workout times and breeding and trainer information to go on, but if it were simple, the bettors would be rich, the track would go bankrupt and horse racing would cease to exist. Then there are those like me (and I suspect I am not alone), who sometimes opt to bet for value rather than the winning horse. Horse X is a 3-5 favorite? That's no fun. What about Horse ZZ, listed at 15-1? Now, cashing that ticket in would be fun! Until the favorite wins and you suddenly feel that picking up an $8 payout on a $5 bet isn't so bad.

The big race of the day was the Oaks, which Rachel Alexandra won last year before moving on to race with (and beat) the boys at the Preakness. Blind Luck was the 6-5 favorite. Of course, I did not bet on her, and she won in a photo finish over Evening Jewel (one of many horses I considered and backed off of throughout the day). A truly fantastic race with a come-from-behind victory for Blind Luck and a dramatic wait for the official results. From where we were in the infield, we could see very little actual racing, but what we could see was phenomenal. We're standing track-level and can hear the thundering of the horses coming up stretch and heading into the turn and in a blink they're gone and it's back to watching on the screen.

After the final race, we leisurely strolled back through the tunnel and out the gates to the parking lot, wiping sweat from our pink flesh and planning the night ahead. Jim had recalled an area of Louisville that he had been to before, called the Highlands, which is a street with Irish bars pressed up against residential houses. We settled into Flanagan's for a well-earned dinner, which was rather unfortunately served on paper plates. The beer, however, was cool and refreshing and we popped across the street to Molly Malone's for a nightcap, expertly slipping through the layers of bouncers collecting cover charges, before retiring to our shelter across the river in Clarksville, Indiana.

The America's Best Inn and Suites earns its name in the same way that Miller High Life is the self-referred Champagne of beers. Our room featured floor-to-ceiling windows with a giant crack down the middle of it, cobwebs above our beds, mattresses covered in plastic that roared like a crashing wave whenever you turned over, and a breakfast buffet featuring chocolate chip cookies and Ho-Hos. And still it was $120 a night. Hotels and motels closer to Churchill Downs were going for over $300 a night. Fortunately, we didn't spend much time in our room.

Saturday morning the rain came down. Hard. It had rained all night an wasn't letting up. Despite getting up by 7:00 a.m., we felt no urgency to get to the track by 8:00 a.m. to claim a spot. We drove to the Cracker Barrel near the track and were surprised to find no wait for a table for breakfast. We got a prime parking spot in the football stadium lot and traveled over the bridge again, bottles of courage in hand at 10:00 a.m. While we were tempted to pack beer into our folding chair cases to sneak in (we weren't patted down at all on Friday), we decided against it to avoid delays with security or possible expulsion. I felt strangely vindicated when my chair was strip-searched upon entry and there was nothing in it. Truth had set me free and it made me feel old.

The rain had turned the infield into a mud pit overnight. Far more people were there on Saturday than Friday. Far more college students. Most people were covered in ponchos rather than the festive dresses, suits and hats traditionally associated with the Derby. And the shenanigans were instant. It didn't take too long before people mounted the double row of port-o-potties, stumbling and bumbling from one end to the other while crowds gathered to hurl cans and bottles (some full) at them. Jim even saw a folding chair fly across. It might have been my folding chair, which was rudely taken from its spot while I was up placing a bet. Innocence felt lost. Later, as we were gathering our belongings to leave, I discovered that my collectible mint julep glass had also been snatched. Thankfully, Perry kindly offered me his, restoring some faith in humanity.

The running of the urinals is a curious ritual. The runner often injures him or herself, falling on top of the port-o-johns, being trampled by those running behind them, getting nailed by thrown objects, or being slammed to the ground by waiting police officers at the finish. And yet, people continued to do it all day long. Others preferred to roll out their slip n' slide tarps or wrestle in the mud as the rain poured down. I stood around and watched and took photos, bemused by it all, with zero interest in partaking.

Meanwhile, races continued to be run, even on the wet dirt. Races scheduled to be run on turf moved to the more stable dirt for the safety of the horses, but wreaked havoc on handicapping efforts. I came into Derby day with a new strategy of trying to bet on the horses I thought would win, no matter the odds, rather than trying to catch lightning in a bottle with a hare-brained exacta or trifecta scheme, which had failed me on Friday. Right away I nailed the first two races and was feeling good about putting some money into my pocket rather than the other way around, even if the bets were small. Unfortunately, the luck stalled from there, as I only won one more race the rest of the day. With over 90 minutes between the 10th race and the 11th race (the Derby), I still was unable to pick a winner, as Jim and I decided that Lookin' at Lucky was the best horse in the field and had the best chance of beating a disadvantageous post position on the rail. Furthermore, the favorite was being offered at 7-1 odds, which was just too good to pass up. The skies had cleared and the sun came out just as the horses were being paraded to their gates, just to taunt those of us who had endured 8 hours of rain while the rest of the world watched comfortably on their television sets. Unfortunately, Lookin' at Lucky never recovered from two early bumps and finished sixth, while Super Saver rocketed to the win.

Disappointed, we looked around us and the carnage we were standing in. Plenty of people had passed out before the Derby and never saw the race. Their friends woke them up as tents and canopies were broken down and carried out. There were still two more races to go, but most had had enough. We placed one more bet on the 12th race and, losers again, left through the crowded tunnel as teenagers poured in to help clean up the wreckage. They must have been from some volunteer organization because they were much too cheerful to be on cleanup duty on a Saturday night.

We returned to our parking spot, where we tailgated for awhile, waiting for the traffic to clear. Here, we had the most fun moment of the trip. It involved parallel conversations too complicated and inane to describe here, but which had us doubled over in laughter. Just the three of us, on the bumper of a car and a beer in hands. This is what the trip to Louisville was about. Yes, we reveled in the open air sunshine on Friday, not a care in the world, privately taunting those who were spending their Friday at work, while we were seated comfortably with a cold beverage at our lips, chatting with strangers and watching beautiful animals race by with the hope of winning big. And yes, we enjoyed thrusting ourselves in the middle of over 155,000 people on Saturday to watch the biggest horse race in the world. But, there was something about the infield that left me feeling hollow.

All the youthful exuberance, the running of the urinals, the mud wrestling, the beer funneling, none of that was mine. I watched as an outsider, perhaps looking at some extreme version of my younger self. I'm married now; I have a child who is turning one tomorrow. I have no desire to push the limits of sense and safety. Two months ago, I found myself at a beer garden in Queens with Perry and Jim, catching up and monitoring the Kansas-Northern Iowa basketball game in the background. We turned our backs for a few minutes and our pitcher of beer was gone. Trustworthy-looking neighbors pointed out the culprits. We confronted them and they denied it with a menacing sneer. I wanted badly to fight them, to stand up for myself and to assert myself as a man. Instead, I quickly calculated the sequence of events that would follow my first punch and decided that dragging my wife and baby out of bed to get me out of jail or the hospital wasn't worth it. And so I walked away toward the subway headed for home, a beer or two earlier than planned, alternating between feelings of incensed rage and utter confusion.

Later Saturday night, after the rain, after the Derby, after the laughter in the parking lot, and after another disappointing dinner in a different Irish bar in the Highlands, we sat at our table, exhausted, winding down with half-full cups of beers we would never finish. A two-person cover band set up their equipment and began to play. The sound was awful and what resulted was perhaps the worst rendition of a Neil Young song I had ever heard. Through the pained warbling, though, I heard this:

"It's so noisy at the fair
But all your friends are there
And the candy floss you had
And your mother and your dad.

Oh, to live on Sugar Mountain
With the barkers and the colored balloons,
You can't be twenty on Sugar Mountain
Though you're thinking that
you're leaving there too soon,
You're leaving there too soon."

I am not a too-old twenty year-old, as Young was when he wrote this song, but I am a thirty-four year-old husband and father, and my fun is different now. The experience at the Derby was a blast and I am thrilled and thankful for the opportunity to have gone. While the races served as a setting and the plot, it was the characters of Jim, Perry and myself that I enjoyed the most.

Me and Jim in the Sun on Oaks Day

Horse Hat on Friday

Friday Costumes on Oaks Day (Perry Reaches For Drink)

Closest View of the Horses at Turn 3 on Friday

Me and Jim in the Rain on Derby Day

Slip, Sliding Fun at the Derby

Sashaying of the Urinals

Mopping Up Blood With a Hat After Running of the Urinals

Mud Wrestling, Derby Style

Mud Man at the Derby

Wake Up And Clean the Mud Out of Your Ears, For God's Sakes!

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Racing Rachel

Tomorrow, the odyssey to my bluegrass heaven begins, but the biggest race of the weekend may not even be between the rails. As I've mentioned previously, the majestic filly Rachel Alexandra will be running on Friday. However, her race's post time is scheduled for 1:26 p.m. Jim and I land at 11:02 a.m.- in Indianapolis. Fortunately, Perry will already be waiting outside in his most dapper driver's cap, waiting to whisk the three of us down the interstate. It's 131 miles from the Indy airport to Churchill Downs in Louisville. With any luck, we'll get to the gate on time, run through the airport like O.J. Simpson, and be on the road no later than 11:30 a.m. That leaves us less than two hours to get there, park, navigate the crowd, and rush as close to trackside as possible to see this beauty run. In the best of circumstances, we'd even be able to lay a bet down, but that might be asking too much. Early morning line on us getting there on time is 50-1. If we make it, I vow to crown Perry with a garland of pink lillies. But, if we are late, weep no more for us. Stay tuned for stories and pictures to come after the weekend.

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

I'm Going To Kentucky, I'm Going to the Fair...

The long-anticipated adventure to Kentucky is almost here and I am giddy with excitement. It has been two and a half months since Andrea surprised me with this gift on Valentine’s Day, which has bought her a lifetime of “You have the coolest wife ever” platitudes by my friends. I have previewed several races involving Derby contenders and conspired with my fellow explorers Jim and Perry to plot out the course of our weekend. The racing and the atmosphere, if not the weather, promise to be fantastic. Here’s the plan:

Friday, April 30th- Jim and I board an 8:30 a.m. flight from New York to Indianapolis, where we will meet up with Perry, who will have already landed, rented a car and fetched supplies by the time we arrive at 11:00 a.m. We will then drive the 130 miles from Indy to Louisville, hopefully in less than two hours. Not the most convenient way to get to Churchill Downs, but it was the cheapest, and I’d rather donate my money to predatory establishments of gambling than the airline industry.
We will hightail it down I-65 as fast (and legally) as we can in order to catch as much of Oaks day at the track as possible. Oaks day is for the ladies (and the fillies) and will have some fine races, including the La Troienne Stakes, with Rachel Alexandra scheduled to run. As of last year, the Oaks has added to its long history of traditions by dedicating its day to Breast Cancer Awareness, calling for all attendees to wear pink. I plan to wear my daughter’s bib if I fail in my attempt to fit into a onesie.
After the races are over, we plan to soak in the Derby weekend nightlife in Louisville’s finest establishments, but not too late into the night because…

Saturday, May 1st-
At the track by 8:00 a.m. The first race doesn’t go off until 10:30 a.m., but it’s a land rush for those who want to watch the action from the infield. Unlike at Belmont Park, Churchill Downs permits, nay encourages, attendees to watch/party/bet in the infield. Rather than sitting in reserved seats and wearing silly hats, we will be among the people, the real horse lovers and racing aficionados, and of course, the Runners of the Urinals. I have witnessed the Running of the Bulls in Pamplona, but this tradition has a decidedly American flair to it. In any case, 80,000 people fill the infield on Derby day, so it behooves us to stake our claim to a plot of land near the third turn, where we can see the horses make their move. Throughout the day, we plan to study the forms, argue nonsensically about who will win each race and how to bet, change our minds at the betting windows, watch the races and refresh ourselves. Rinse and repeat 13 times (there are actually two more races after the Derby, allowing for ample opportunity to leave empty handed).

It’s going to be another crowded field for the Derby, as 20 horses are currently scheduled to run. There will be some scratches (Wood Memorial winner Eskendereya has already been ruled out), reducing the traffic on the dirt a little bit, but there will be lots of studying to do for this race. The post position draw was held today, which was done randomly rather than the usual double tier selection process. Here are a few of the contenders to look out for:

Lookin’ at Lucky- After getting squeezed out on the rail during the Santa Anita Derby, favorite Lookin’ at Lucky is going to have to dig his way out from crowd on the rail again because he drew the 1 spot. This is going to make it very difficult to get clear unless he shoots out of the gate well in front and hopes to go wire to wire. Otherwise, he’ll have to navigate traffic and I didn’t like the way Garrett Gomez ran him in California. There are too many other quality horses for me to feel confident about this one, even if he is the early favorite at 3-1.

Sidney’s Candy- The recipient of Gomez’s gaffe, Sidney’s Candy won the Santa Anita Derby in impressive fashion, even slowing down near the end to save himself for Louisville. However, he drew the far outside post at number 20 and is going to have to work harder to get around the turn without putting on too much extra mileage from that spot. Sidney’s Candy is listed at 5-1, which looks fair to me.

Stately Victor- The longshot winner at Keeneland for the Blue Grass Stakes in Lexington, Stately Victor romped to the winner’s circle. He’s been hit-or-miss through his career, but he now has two wins to his credit and I like him again this Saturday, especially at the 6 spot, just outside of Line of David and Super Saver. And at 30-1 odds, I am going to have a hard time resisting that payoff.

Line of David- The winner of the Arkansas Derby won wire-to-wire, and looked strong in doing so. The biggest knock on Line of David is that he ain’t seasoned on dirt, with only that one race under his belt. But at 30-1, I like his value, especially at the 5 gate.

Super Saver- Finishing second at Oaklawn in Arkansas, he spent most of the race looking up the ass of Line of David before losing by a nose. He’ll be running inside of Line of David at number 4, but I’m just not sure he’s a closer, even though his odds are better at 15-1.

Awesome Act- Finishing third to Eskendereya in the Wood Memorial isn’t something to be ashamed of, but it was a small field of six horses, and the European took his time getting toward the front of the pack. I have doubts about how he’ll handle a crowded field at Churchill, though the 16 spot won’t hurt him as much as the 20 spot will hurt Lookin’ at Lucky. I could easily see Awesome Act biding his time in the back of the pack and pacing into the money, but I’m not sure he’s a winner in this field. Could be a trifecta box pick at 10-1.

Devil May Care- The lone filly in the race, she has a nice position at 11, but she’s owned by Todd Pletcher, the Susan Lucci of horse trainers. None of his 24 previous entries have won the Derby. She is getting a lot of buzz at 10-1, but a filly hasn’t won the Derby since ’88, so she has a lot of history against her.

Keep an eye out for all of these horses, as well as Paddy O’Prado and Dublin, if you decide to tune in to NBC on Saturday from 5:00-7:00, with post time scheduled for 6:24 p.m. ESPN is covering the earlier races from 11:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. And if you’re a ladies man (or woman), catch the Oaks on Bravo on Friday at 5:00 p.m.

As for me, I’ll be catching it all live, up close and personal. A dream come true.

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Top Ten Sporting Events I've Attended: Part II

Part II of my Top Ten follows. Part I can be found here.

5. Belmont Stakes- June 7th, 1997
A fantastic introduction to the sport of kings for me, with Touch Gold denying Silver Charm’s pursuit of a Triple Crown. Read about my experience in depth here. We’ll see where this year’s Derby ranks with the ’97 Belmont.

4. Syracuse vs. UConn, Big East Quarterfinals- March 12th, 2009
Possibly one of the greatest college basketball games of all time, I was lucky enough to be there with my brother Adam and my cousin Josh, then 14 years-old and by no rights should have been up until 1:22 a.m. watching hoops in Madison Square Garden. But when two top-25 rivals are battling through 6 overtimes in the Big East tournament, bedtimes go out the window. The game was tight throughout, with UConn leading 37-34 at halftime, then Syracuse controlling the end of regulation until UConn tied it with 4 seconds left. With the score 71-71, Syracuse’s Eric Devendorf nailed a long three-pointer at the buzzer that sent the crowd into a frenzy and then left us with baited breath as the officials took forever to see whether he had released the ball before the clock hit 0.0. He had not, and we were set for overtime. And overtime again. And overtime four more times. Each overtime until the last, UConn took the lead and experimented with new ways to blow it, including missed free throws and layups. Two of the overtimes featured just three buckets each. People who looked like they had previously been wiping the floor emerged onto the court wearing authentic jerseys and handling the ball when player after player fouled out. In spite of this, the game was unbelievable in its tenacity between the teams and remarkable clutching performances all around. A.J. Price was a man afire for UConn, but ultimately Jonny Flynn outdueled him with his relentless attack of the basket, constantly drawing fouls that sent him to the line where he was money every time. In an odd twist to this game that found itself tied at six buzzers, Syracuse ended up winning by 10 points, as UConn had nothing left for the sixth overtime. Being in the crowd was electrifying, as the fans cheered each extra period, like Michael Jordan counting titles, rooting for more and more and each time getting their wish. And yes, there were fans around us who left after regulation. I pity the fools.

3. Tigers at Red Sox-July 2nd, 1995
Now we’re getting into personal territory. The top three on this list were all attended with my late grandmother Ethel, who I called Nanny. Nanny raised two great kids, one of whom is my mom, and had the tragic misfortune of having to live the last 30 years of her life alone, after my grandfather was shot in a robbery of his store in suburban Boston, two years before I was born. Over the years, when she wasn’t visiting her grandchildren, Nanny kept company many nights with Ned Martin, Ken Coleman, Joe Castiglione and Jerry Trupiano: the voices of the Red Sox radio network. Some nights, she would watch on TV as the Red Sox pushed and pulled on her heartstrings, say “To hell with ‘em,” get into bed and inevitably switch on the radio to listen to the bitter end. She loved those ballplayers and all at once couldn’t stand them, and that’s the way it was as a Red Sox fan, and that’s the way it will always be for those who lived through the lean years. Unfortunately, Nanny never lived to see the 2004 Idiots win it all, passing away to cancer in March, 2003.
1995 was one of those particularly anguishing years, where the Boston boys were good (Mo Vaughn, John Valentin, Mike Greenwell, Jose Canseco, Tim Wakefield, Rick Aguilera) but not good enough (Zane Smith, Vaughn Eshelman, the then-corpse of Roger Clemens). The season started late because of the strike that had snuffed out the 1994 season, including the playoffs, and lingered into spring, like a bad fart that left a pungent trail between the point of impact and casually sauntered-to new location of the offender. So, with some baseball purists left behind, holding their nose at the audacity of a strike by millionaires who play a game most of us would play for $50,000 plus benefits, Major League Baseball carried on, and I with it. I was 19 years old, spending the summer in Palmer, Mass. as a camp counselor, with an opportunity to spend an off weekend with Nanny, who had scored us two tickets to a Red Sox-Tigers game in July. Mo Vaughn was my favorite player at the time and he was easy to like. Big, lumbering lefty slugger who crouched over the plate before uncorking monstrous home runs beyond the Pesky Pole in right. As an added bonus, Clemens was the starter and I still had great love for him even though he appeared to be in the now-famous “twilight of his career.” He and Wade Boggs were the heroes of my youth, so I couldn’t let him go so easily. Nanny and I settled into our seats in the grandstands on the first base side, safely under cover of the second deck and in view of any number of green pillars prefacing the action on the field. The game turned out to wild, with 13 total runs scored in the third inning (five given up by Rajah), two triples by the second greatest Black Irish of all time, Troy O’Leary, and best of all, not one, but two towering home runs by my man Mo Vaughn. Still, the Sox decided to make things interesting by blowing a 5 run lead in the top of the ninth inning, only to win 12-11 in walk-off fashion with a Lee Tinsley single to right in the bottom of the inning. Great day at the ballpark with Nanny all the way around.

2. Devil Rays at Red Sox, August 14th, 2000
After finishing graduate school in St. Louis, I moved to Boston for a year, in part to be closer to Nanny. She was 85 at the time, and while spry as ever, not a frequent visitor to Fenway Park. I was living right in Kenmore Square and convinced her to come with me to a Red Sox-Devil Rays game in August. This team had Pedro Martinez in his prime, but little else besides Nomar Garciaparra, the combustible Carl Everett, and Derek Lowe as its closer. It was the kind of team that needed to sign Manny Ramirez after the season. In those days (old man alert!), before the dawn of the pink hat era, you could walk up to the ballpark during the season and still buy tickets at the window with American cash. Nanny drove in from Melrose, where she had lived since selling her old house in nearby Malden several years earlier, and we went together into the ballpark. Our seats were in the right field bleachers, just beyond the bullpens and it was an unseasonably cool night in the Fens. Pedro was pitching that night, so the place was rocking as usual. The Red Sox tied the score at the 3 in the sixth inning and it remained that way in the seventh and the eighth, and into the bottom of the ninth. Nanny was clearly tiring and I knew she wouldn’t last into extras. I asked if she could give me one more inning and she nodded. After the leadoff man got on and stole second, the next two men went down quickly, and it didn’t look like we’d be able to watch the end of the game from the seats. Then the Tampa Bay manager decided to intentionally walk Carl Everett. Up came Nomar, but before Nomar-mania could begin, the manager called for another intentional walk. The bases were now loaded for Rico Brogna, a local boy and former Phillies regular who had been claimed off waivers by the Red Sox the week prior. Working the count to 2-and-2, the fans sensed the possibility of a bases-loaded walk to win the game. We all stood up, even Nanny, and waited for the pitch. On cue, Rico Brogna smacked the ball deep to right and over the fence for a grand slam walk off homer with two outs in the bottom of the ninth. It was only August in the pre-Manny/Papi Era, but Fenway shook like an earthquake. Nanny and I screamed and hugged, jumping up and down together like the 6 year-olds next to us, and joined the crowd in chanting “Rico! Rico!” over and over again until he dug himself out from his pile of teammates and took a curtain call. Probably the single greatest moment I ever experienced live in a ballpark, and I got to share it with Nanny.

1 Florida vs. FSU, Sugar Bowl- Jan. 2, 1997
The Gators’ first national championship almost never happened. After losing 24-21 to FSU in Tallahassee in a battle of unbeatens, Florida snuck into the designated National Championship game by virtue of a dominating win over Alabama in the SEC Championship game and Nebraska’s shocking upset loss to an unranked Texas squad in the inaugural Big 12 Championship game. Jake Plummer’s upstart Arizona St. team was the only other undefeated team, but were locked into a New Year’s Day Rose Bowl matchup with 1-loss Ohio State, in the pre-BCS format, which they promptly lost, opening the door for a controversy-free Sugar Bowl. With my parents having moved from Gainesville to New Orleans in 1994, the opportunity was ripe for a family trip to the Superdome. Nanny would always come visit us in late December for me and my twin sister's birthday, so she got to come along for the ride, even if she didn’t care much for college football that didn’t involve Doug Flutie. What ensued was nothing short of a complete and total manhandling of our hated rivals, crushing them by a score of 52-20 that left no doubt as to which team was the National Champ. For the first time ever, after decades of losing and half a decade of Steve Spurrier’s tantalizing genius, Danny Wuerffel, Ike Hilliard, Fred Taylor and Lawrence Wright brought a title to Gainesville. Even local boy Terry Jackson, who I played Boys Club basketball against in middle school, got into the act, rushing for over 100 yards and two TDs. The night ended with a newly-21 year-old Yours Truly, wrapped around several Bourbon St. lampposts, imploring passersby to give me a “Go Gators!” like a homeless man begging for a quarter. After 21 years of Gators, Red Sox and Patriots disappointment, and a fading memory of the Celtics’ 3 titles in the ‘80s, I needed a “Go Gators!” Over the next decade, I would get them in spades. I am one lucky sports fan.

Monday, April 26, 2010

Top Ten Sporting Events I've Attended: Part I

We’re less than a week away from the most exciting two minutes in sports (with apologies to Greg Maddux and Dave Baker), so I thought I would take this time before my upcoming trip to the Kentucky Derby to rank my Top Ten Sporting Events I’ve Attended Live. Since one of them took place in New Orleans, I’m adding one more for lagniappe. And since I pay myself by the word, we’re doing this one in two parts:

11. Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh football- November 8th, 2003
One of my first orders of business after being accepted into Carnegie Mellon’s Dramatic Writing program, after finding an apartment and scraping the fries off my salad, was to order season tickets for Pitt football. They had a fantastic home schedule, including Miami, Notre Dame and Virginia Tech. I figured I could easily make back the cost of the season package just by selling the Miami and Notre Dame tickets and still get to catch a few other games myself, which ultimately led to an awkward handoff with a Hurricane fan from West Virginia in the entryway of a chain restaurant near the Pittsburgh airport. In any case, I knew it couldn’t compare to Gator games in the Swamp, but I wanted to see how other college programs treated their football. The Panthers play at Heinz Field, where the Steelers call home, so that was kind of cool, but kind of not. I really missed the on-campus pre-game atmosphere that likely would have shut down traffic on Forbes Avenue if the stadium were there. Instead, it’s on the North Side, all the way across town and over a river. But, no matter, Virginia Tech and Heisman hopeful Kevin Jones was in town and so was my brother, so Adam and I headed down to the stadium for a night game treat. Larry Fitzgerald made an incredible touchdown grab, Kevin Jones broke off 4 TD runs (including an 80-yarder) on the way to 241 yards rushing and Rod Rutherford had the game of his life, leading Pitt on a 70 yard drive in the fourth quarter before Lousaka Polite punched in for the winning score with 47 seconds left. Final score- Pitt 31, Va. Tech, 28. Virginia Tech fans made themselves noticed with their bright orange and dark red gear, and local fans rose to the occasion as well, but if a Gator home game is a 9, this was a 5. Still, a great game to watch.

10. Holland vs. Belgium, World Cup- June 25th, 1994
Having grown up playing soccer from the age of 5 and following my brother’s footsteps as a varsity goalkeeper at Eastside High in Gainesville, I was pumped that the World Cup was coming to Orlando. Adam and I got tickets and drove two hours south to the Citrus Bowl to catch Belgium take on the Netherlands, with a star-studded team of Dennis Bergkamp, the De Boer twins, Marc Overmars and Edwin van der Sar (who wasn’t even the starter), all aged 21-25, just entering their prime. Always high drama when these two neighboring nations strap on the shinguards, and always high comedy pronouncing their names. It was David vs. Goliath, Flemish Masters vs. Dutch Masters. The atmosphere in the crowd was electric as red, yellow and black striped Belgian flags clashed against the orange jerseys of the Dutchmen, who were surprisingly tall. The Belgians managed to prevail in a huge upset, 1-0, and both teams advanced to the knockout round, with Belgium bowing to the Germans in the round of 16 and the Dutch falling to eventual champs Brazil in the quarterfinals. I’m really looking forward to this year’s Cup in South Africa, and I expect to spend some lovely summer afternoons with a frosty beverage in front of the television or at a local soccer bar, drinking in the atmosphere.

9. Lacrosse Final Four- May 27th, 2006
I have to admit, I am a Johnny-come-lately to the increasingly popular sport/culture of lax. Up until about ten years ago, my relationship with lacrosse was based solely on those awkwardly erotic Coed Naked t-shirts of the ‘80s. Lacrosse did not exist in Florida, or at least not in Gainesville. But a good friend of my brother’s, Chip, is from Maryland and played for Towson and got Adam and I interested. I figured it couldn’t be more complicated to follow than Irish hurling, which I got swept up in during a solo two-month journey across Europe in 2001, which Adam and Chip incidentally joined me on for a week or so. It was a long way to Tipperary for the Galway lads, but I remain loyal: Up Galway! In any case, Chip didn’t have to do a lot of arm-twisting to get us to make the pilgrimage to Philadelphia to check out the new Lincoln Financial Field for the college lacrosse Final Four. Truth be told, I don’t remember much about the games. UMass beat Maryland and UVA beat Syracuse and neither game was particularly close. The games were fun to watch and relatively simple enough for a novice to understand on a basic, enjoyable level. What impressed me the most were the fans. The parking lot in Philly, which is shared with the baseball stadium, was jam-packed. Kids and fathers were flipping balls to each other with lacrosse sticks all over the place, and the tailgating was phenomenal. It really is the sport of the Mid-Atlantic region and I’m glad to see that it’s spreading everywhere, even in Gainesville, where the Lady Gators are ranked in the Top 25 during their inaugural season, playing in a brand-new lacrosse facility (for which they can probably thank Urban Meyer and Billy Donovan- it’s good to be near the kings).

8. Compaq Classic- May 5, 2002
My first golf tournament and it exceeded all expectations. I’m a casual golfer. I’m not especially good, nor do I especially work on my game. I consider the green to be the hole. Once I get it up there, I could care less how many putts it takes for the ball to go underground. No one three-putts from 6 feet like I do, and I’m fine with it. Putting is for sissies, anyway. I like to watch golf on TV. I’m a fan of Tiger Woods as long as he doesn’t try to sleep with my wife. But, the idea of attending a golf tournament had never appealed to me until I got the opportunity to go to the Compaq Classic (now re-branded as the Zurich Classic) in New Orleans, while visiting my parents for Jazz Fest. Back then, the tournament was literally played in our backyard, as our house sits across a narrow water hazard from the sixth hole. What I hadn’t realized about going to a golf tournament, especially one that isn’t a major, is how close you can get to the players. All that’s between me and Phil Mickelson or Geoff Ogilvy or Stewart Cink is a thin white rope. You can hear them talking to their caddies, or to friends who are following them, or to have fans brave enough to chat them up between shots. And you can sit around the green and watch balls plop right in front of you, or you can stand at the tee box and watch them mash a drive 300 yards down the fairway. It’s really unlike any other sporting event I’ve ever been to, being so close to the action and getting to see so many different players. You can choose to follow one favorite player the whole time or you can sit at one hole and watch each player come through, or you can jump around, following someone who’s gone on a birdie run and then switching over to a legend at the end of his career for a hole or two. It’s almost like a music festival. Very, very cool. Oh, and K.J. Choi won, just his second PGA victory of what’s looking like a very good career.

7. Dice-K’s Fenway debut- April 11th, 2007
Sure, some (okay, all) of the luster surrounding Daisuke Matsuzaka’s arrival in Boston has worn off, but at the time, the hype around him and his magical gyroballs was entrancing and I gambled about a month in advance on when he would make his debut at Fenway Park against the Mariners, and got tickets for April 11th, praying for no rain, thinking this was as good a time as any to treat my then-girlfriend/now-wife to her first visit to the holy shrine of my Red Sox being. Andrea and I rented a car and drove up from New York, stopping in at my favorite, slightly out-of-the way lunch spot in Connecticut, and cruised into the city with plenty of time to take in the pre-game festivities. The excitement surrounding the ballpark breathed life into the cold, damp air that night and flashbulbs popped like fireworks, especially when fellow Japanese countryman Ichiro Suzuki stepped in to lead off the first inning. Dice-K certainly lived up to the hype that night, but the story belonged to young Seattle phenom Felix Hernandez. King Felix mowed the Sox down like a machine, taking a no-hitter into the 8th inning before J.D. Drew broke it up with a clean single, the only hit of the game in a 3-0 loss for the good guys. I was almost rooting for the no-hitter at that point (we had no chance against Felix, anyway); I’ve always wanted to see a no-hitter in person. Even though the Sox lost, it was a great trip and I was glad to be able show Andrea the majesty of Fenway Park. She cared- I think.

6. Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues, Game 4, Conference Semi-finals- May 12th, 1999: Again, hockey is just not one of those sports that kids from Florida grow up connected to. And yet, Miami and Tampa have NHL teams. Go figure. I went to college in St. Louis, which I had previously considered to be borderline South/Midwest and did not expect it to be such a rabid hockey town. I also discovered that it occasionally snows in St. Louis in late April, so what do I know? As an undergraduate, I largely ignored the greater St. Louis area outside of our little campus cocoon in Clayton/University City, save for the occasional trip to the Galleria and Cardinals games. I didn’t start to explore different parts of the city until I stayed on for a graduate degree. That’s also when I got the opportunity to attend my first hockey game. A playoff game, no less. The Kiel Center was rocking as the Blues faced the mighty South Stars, led by former Blues hero Brett Hull, in the second round. The Blues were down in the series 2-1, but had just won Game 3 in overtime and was feeling a little momentum. I went with my professor Ann and another friend Dana, where our nosebleed seats were surprisingly not bad. The game and atmosphere was off the charts. Then it went into overtime and the roof nearly blew off. When the Blues scored in overtime, winning the game 3-2 and tying the series, the stadium shook like a volcano eruption. One of the coolest moments I’ve ever experienced- and for a team and game I barely cared about going in.

For Part II of the Top Ten, tune in tomorrow.

Friday, April 23, 2010

Tebow to Denver: Mile High Mistake

So, the mystery is solved and the NFL draftniks can take a breath: Tim Tebow is a first-round selection of the Denver Broncos. While I'm not surprised he went 25th overall, I am shocked that he was picked by Denver. The Broncos' biggest weakness last season was stopping the run, an issue they "solved" by acquiring 34 year-old Jamal Williams. While they clearly needed to try to replace Brandon Marshall's huge productivity at wide receiver (and I commend their selection of Demaryius Thomas), they had traded their way into an opportunity to take either Dan Williams or Jason Odrick, defensive tackles that would have shored up their porous run defense, with the 25th pick. Instead, they Tebowed themselves in the foot.

Denver coach Josh McDaniels has traded for two quarterbacks in his short tenure there: first, Kyle Orton in the Jay Cutler trade last year and then Brady Quinn this year. I don't happen to believe that either quarterback is going to help Denver win a Super Bowl, but McDaniels must believe that, otherwise he wouldn't have bothered acquiring them. Yes, Tebow gives the quarterback position in Denver a different dynamic, but it's not necessarily one they need. Running back Knowshon Moreno was a successful ground gainer in his rookie year, including in short yardage situations. He converted on 64.7% of third-and-short plays, and was third in the league in touchdown percentage near the goal-line, busting into the end zone 5 out of the 7 opportunities he had from inside the 3 yard line. Tebow's ability to succeed on short-yardage run plays gives the Broncos another option, but it's not worth a first round pick, especially with the payroll department taking on another first round salary with Thomas.

Thursday, April 8, 2010

The Tebow Dilemma: How He Should be Used in the NFL

Tim Tebow is a bust. Or he’s an ace. Or he’s a pair of eights, destined to make an NFL GM or coach’s stomach churn as they double their bet: infinite possibilities looming, some bad, some decent, but none of them a blackjack. No one seems to know which, but all of them have bellied up to the high-rollers table, watching as the cards get passed around. And they should. Tim Tebow is a top-53 player on any roster. Some teams, however, are trying to decide if he is a franchise quarterback, the kind that gets paid a lot of money, the kind that gets drafted in the first round. The answer to that dilemma lies in how each prospective team envisions Tebow’s ceiling. And while the NFL draft gets underway on April 22nd, NFL front office personnel would be wise to wait to call the name of The Great Tim Tebow until the next day, when the second and third rounds take place. And he should be drafted not as The Franchise and not as The Project, but as a hybrid alternative: third down quarterback.

Conventional wisdom and draftniks say Tebow is not a first-rounder, and we all know why: his throwing motion is suspect and he’s not used to playing in a pro-style offense. Still, it’s certainly possible that a team with an anemic and hopeless offense like Cleveland, Buffalo or St. Louis might try to rebuild their offensive scheme to fit Tebow’s strengths and put him at the helm, but it’s likely that at least one of the Big Two of Sam Bradford and Jimmy Clausen would be available to one of those teams. Even if a team were to prefer Tebow over the more traditionally-styled Colt McCoy as the third best QB, there are too many other surer bets out there in the first round, where the risk and the reward tend to be as tight as Tony Romo’s collar in a playoff game.

And yet there is scuttlebutt that a team toward the end of the first round might be able to afford to roll the dice on the two-time BCS champ. Successful, well-run organizations like the Patriots and Steelers bristle at having to take the time to teach young players how to be a winner. Tebow comes pre-programmed in that department, but really, what team can pass on plugging a hole to take on an extra quarterback? And if you’re drafting toward the end of the first round, that means that you’re a contender, and no coach or GM of a contending team in their right mind would waste a first round pick on a position that is obviously not an issue (with the exception of Arizona, who is likely loath to go all in on another first round QB while Matt Leinart is still on the roster). Then there’s the Savior Theory, hitherto only applied to the Jaguars, who may, in a desperate attempt to fill seats, pluck the local boy hero to appeal to their Bible Belt fan base. More on the Jags later.

Predicting where Tebow will land is nothing more than a semi-educated guess, because it depends on the whim/expertise of the shot-callers in the NFL, some of whom are shrewd evaluators of talent and some of whom are hardheaded ex-jocks who go with their beer gut. There will be those who believe Tebow can one day (possibly soon) be a successful, starting quarterback in the NFL. There are others who value his leadership qualities and work ethic and believe that he can be someone they can trust if their first stringer goes down for a short period of time. And there are those who want to mold Tebow into their ideal player, no matter how little experience he may have at whatever position they think he can play. Yes, he’s built like a fullback, but does anyone really think that he can be an effective blocker? Child, please.

Let’s assume for a moment that Tebow is human, and whatever mechanical changes he’s made as a quarterback in the last six weeks would disappear in the 0.7 seconds it takes for Dwight Freeney to descend upon him in the pocket like an avalanche. And despite his 2,947 career rushing yards as a Gator, his 4.72 time in the 40 isn’t going to save him from an end like Freeney or any middle linebacker chasing him to the outside. However, the one thing I would want Tebow to do is take the snap on third or fourth and short.

From the moment Tebow stepped on the field as a true freshman man-child until his jarring, concussion-inducing hit against Kentucky as a senior, Tebow successfully rushed on third and short (here defined as one or two yards) 76.1% of the time- and didn’t turn the ball over once. The Miami Dolphins were second in the league last year in third and short conversion rate at 56.9%. From 2008 until the hit in 2009 (17 games), with the target of a Heisman Trophy on his back, he maintained an even-keel, to the tune of 76.2%. As a freshman in 2006, when he was used largely as a third down quarterback, replacing the unimposing Chris Leak at key moments, he went 8-for-10 on third and short runs, plus another 3-for-3 while running on fourth-and-short. And inside the three-yard line with the defense stuffing the box like Election Day in Iran? Five rushing touchdowns in five attempts. The Buffalo Bills had zero rushing touchdowns inside the 3 last year.

Here’s where we find out if the Jaguars have truly fallen under the spell of the Glory of the Coming of the Tebow: Jacksonville led the league in the third and short conversion last season. Maurice Jones-Drew busted through at a 76.0% clip (on 25 attempts- the most in the league), but more than that, the Jags don’t have to look very far to realize that they already have Tim Tebow: David Garrard was 10-for-10 on third and short last season. No other QB cracked the top 20 in third and short conversion rate. Granted, Garrard is 32 and hasn’t delighted Jacksonville fans since high school the way Tebow has, but Garrard was not the Jaguars’ problem last year. Their receiving corps wasn’t exactly drawing double teams and their defense was awful. At best, Tebow maintains the status quo in Jacksonville, and that’s not worth a first or second round pick, unless they plan to shore up their secondary through a trade or free agency. What they really need on offense is Brandon Marshall, not Tim Tebow.

So, where does it make sense for Tebow to go? I’ve broken it down into two categories: Hail Mary and Touchdown Jesus.

Hail Mary: Our Offense Is a Disgrace, Our Team Hasn’t Won in Years (If Ever) and We Need Divine Intervention (Chance of Success=Heaving a Ball 50 Yards Through a Defense That Knows It’s Coming)

Cleveland- Right now, it seems that Holmgren is betting that the wind off Lake Erie will push Jake Delhomme’s passes away from the seemingly magnetic forces of the opposing team. If it lands in an eligible Browns receiver’s hands, Holmgren does a dance of joy. If it’s caught by the intended receiver, Holmgren pulls a Pat Riley and installs himself as head coach immediately. Either way, Tebow doesn’t have the arm Holmgren uses for his system, so I don’t see the Browns building their offense around him. And they have so many other problems, it would be foolish to take a backup/third down QB in the first two rounds. Wait a minute, did I say foolish? Count the Browns in! Chance of Browns selecting Tebow: 20%

Oakland- How much longer can the Raiders cling to JaMarcus Russell? How much longer can JaMarcus Russell cling to the title of king of the burgers? Raider Nation would love the hard-nosed Tebow, but he’s not solving their problems, which run deeper than Lake Tahoe. However, anytime Al Davis is calling the shots, anything can happen. I actually make sure my cell phone is on during the draft every year just in case he calls me to tell me I’m the newest Raider. Chance of the Raiders selecting Tebow: 25%. Chance of the Raiders selecting Weiner: 2%

Buffalo- This scenario scares me the most, because they have the most glaring need at QB and the thought of Tebow facing Rex Ryan and Bill Belichick defenses four times during his rookie season makes me feel sorry for Tebow’s parents, who (as we know from the famous Super Bowl ad) overcame much adversity just to bring little Timmy into the world, only to watch him get crushed so young. Still, word is that Jim Kelly is hot for Tebow. Chance of the Bills selecting Tebow: 40%

St. Louis- What if the Rams take the best player in the draft instead of the best quarterback? They pass on Sam Bradford, take Ndamukong Suh or Gerald McCoy to anchor their pathetic defense and then loop around to take Tebow at the top of the second round. Or trade down a few spots to shore up their secondary with Eric Berry or Joe Haden and collect extra picks along the way. Turn on the Steven Jackson show while Tebow warms into his role as game-manager and team leader. Nah, too logical. Good luck, sweet St. Lou. If Bradford doesn’t work out, you’ll still have the best roast beef sandwich in the country. Chance of the Rams selecting Tebow: 5%


Touchdown Jesus: We’re a Pretty Good, Contending Team, but it Sure Would Be Nice to Have Some Bruiser With Half an Arm Pick Up a Few Short Yardage Plays For Us to Get Us Over The Hump (And Save Money on Those Silly Punters & Kickers)

New England- The Patriots were a surprising 11th in the league last year on third-and-short conversions, given that Tom Brady couldn’t run past a pregnant Gisele any more than a line of scrimmage. Laurence Maroney was 9-for-12, but his inability to hold onto the football makes him a dead man walking on Belichick’s roster. I don’t think Belichick’s quite reached the point where he’s crazy enough to turn Tebow into a tight end, but I do think he’d love to extend Brady’s career by substituting Tebow on short yardage plays. Chance of the Patriots selecting Tebow: 30%

San Diego- Philip Rivers is the starter, no question, so there should be no ego issue bringing in a young buck like Tebow to beef up their 30th ranked third-and-short rate (and 26th ranked touchdown rate inside the three yard line). With the lackluster LT gone, those carries will fall to the even smaller Sproles, and the Chargers could certainly use a bigger option, who can also find Antonio Gates should Tebow’s rushing antics become too predictable (TT was 6-for-10 passing inside the three yard line in his career, with no interceptions). Chance of the Chargers taking Tebow- 20%

These are the only teams that make sense in terms of taking Tebow in the first two rounds. In the unlikely event that he slips to the third round (the hype-meter on Tebow is rising by the day), there are plenty of other teams that could use him. Teams like the Texans, Bengals, Dolphins and Packers would be better served filling bigger needs than spending on a luxury item such as Tebow, but all it takes is one riverboat gambler to make him a top-10 pick. And that is too much to bet on a third-down QB with a recent concussion.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Rhymes with Horses' Tails

After my experience at the ’97 Belmont Stakes, I kept a passing interest in horse racing.  I would make a point to watch the Triple Crown races on TV, but not much more.  Sure, there was the occasional Preakness party hosted by a Baltimore friend, coupled with brief trips to an OTB, but no real investment in the sport until I met Jim. 

Jim is a fellow writer who started graduate school in Pittsburgh a year after I did, so we did not meet until the fall of 2004.  Over many beers these past 5+ years, Jim would regale me with tales of his father, which 85% of the time involved a horse.  More specifically, the shenanigans Jim, Sr. and his buddies would get into on the way to, at and on the way home from various horse races.  These stories are not mine to tell, and if I wrote them they would lack the style, charm and romance of the storyteller.  Also, you would not believe a word of it.  The “Horseshit Tales of Jim and Jim, Sr.” are so outrageous, so hilarious and so tragic, they put the Bible to shame.  And not unlike the Bible, the parishioner is not asked to test the limits of physical possibility, but rather to believe in something Greater.  It does not matter if our eyes have never seen a 100 year-old woman give birth, a sea split in two, or a man walk on water.  These things simply happened and there were witnesses to tell the tale afterwards.  It does no good to debate the truth, for doubt only ruins the story.  Instead, choose to believe and thy will be enlightened.  And so it is with the “Horseshit Tales.”  I love them and I believe them because they fulfill a missing part of my soul.  And because I am already damned to Hell for having listened to them.

After graduate school, I moved to New York.  After a year in the city, I met Andrea, the woman who would be my wife.  It would be three weeks between that meeting and our first date.  First, there would be Saratoga.  The day after meeting Andrea, I left to go on a family vacation to visit my sister in Portland and celebrate my father’s 60th birthday (and make a side road trip with my brother to Vancouver and Seattle).  A few days after my return, I was scheduled to pick up an award at a film festival on Cape Cod.  Sensing the geographical possibilities, I accepted an invitation from Jim to attend a couple of days of racing at Saratoga with his friend Perry before heading to Massachusetts.

Jim was driving from Pittsburgh to Perry’s house upstate and the two of them were to meet me at the train station in Albany, and then head over to our hotel to prepare to attend my First Communion at the Saratoga Cathedral.  Perry is a professional Native American storyteller and between the two of them, my ears were burning with the heat rising from the horseshit.  Or was it the actual 95-degree heat wave that flooded the Saratoga racetrack like a plague, thereby cancelling the day’s races for the first time in 130 years?  Stunned, Perry and Jim decided that the only plausible way to salvage the day was to spend it in the most depressing place on earth: the Albany OTB.

Having never previously been to Saratoga, I could not fully appreciate the stark contrast this dank pit of a bettor’s palace held.  Saratoga Race Course, for those who have not been, is the Garden of Eden.  Surrounded by lush green grass and tall oak trees shading communal picnic tables, the track itself is in marvelous shape, with an inviting apron from which to watch the action thundering mere yards away.  It was worthy of a stop on a road trip to Montreal with Andrea the following year.  The Albany OTB is where the next overzealous religious cult should hold its mass suicide.  Now, it could be that everyone in there that day was depressed that the Saratoga races had been cancelled, and were therefore forced to bet on harness racing at such luminous tracks as those in West Virginia, Delaware and New Jersey, but I’d be surprised if the mood changed much from day to day.  It’s actually quite a large venue, almost like a converted strip club, with dozens of 13-inch screens trained on various races, some of them not even live.  After a few miserable hours, we decided we’d be better off stripping naked and scraping our privates across the hot gravel of the parking lot, and then going back to our hotel room to drink, play cards and pray for cooler horses to prevail the next day. 

And it was evening and it was morning, a second day.  The weather cooled a bit and Saratoga rejoiced.  We arrived at the track just before the first races, lugging in a cooler filled with sausages, cheeses and, of course, beer.  Perry and Jim patiently refreshed my memory on how to read a Racing Form, while somewhat cheerfully bickering back and forth about which horses were going to win, a delightful ritual that continued throughout the day.  Meanwhile, I took in the gorgeousness of the track and the picnic area and the festivities that surrounded me, drinking beer, making several uneducated guesses as to which horse might win and which horse might win me a lot of money, nervously placing bets at the betting window and then wandering onto the apron to watch the race unfold exactly the opposite of how I predicted, and then repeated the entire procedure eight or nine more times until the last horse limped across the finish line and the crowds headed to the parking lot to continue their partying in the town of Saratoga Springs.  I have since returned twice to Saratoga, once with Jim and Perry and once with Andrea.  There are few summer days so glorious as one spent on the shaded grass of Saratoga.  From the tales I have been told, Louisville is a whole other animal.  I look forward to forging my own tales, with Perry, Jim and (if I am lucky) Jim, Sr. himself as witnesses.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Running For the Roses on Valentine's Day

My wife continues to amaze me.  In the past year, she has given birth, moved twice (once while pregnant and once with a 5 month-old), started a new job, and come through it all relatively intact.  Then, this past Valentine's Day, she went beyond the beyonds.  A gift no married man (let alone father) dare dream of, for fear of psychological institutionalization.  Yes, my wife gave me her unsolicited blessing and a plane ticket to attend the 2010 Kentucky Derby.  With two friends whose reputations for the perpetuation of general nonsense precede them.  On the weekend before our daughter's first birthday.  I don't know if I could have reacted more enthusiastically if she had told me that Gisele was going to use our apartment for a week-long lingerie fashion shoot.  I leaped up from the table at the restaurant and nearly knocked her over with my embrace.  This called for celebration.  This called for bourbon.

As the romantic dinner at our favorite intimate restaurant in Brooklyn Heights continued, and the glow showed no signs of wearing off, I began to wonder to myself: "Why am I so damn happy?"  I wouldn't call myself a hardcore horse racing fan by any means.  Yes, I have been to the track a handful of times in my life, and I know how to read a Racing Form, but it isn't something that I keep up with daily, like I do baseball and football, or even casually, like basketball and soccer.  I have never especially wanted to attend a Super Bowl, unless the Patriots were involved, and even then, I've had four chances in the past decade and I never once bothered to cruise eBay for tickets.  Sure, they would have been out of my price range, but I was a dumb 26 year-old when they won Super Bowl 36 in 2002 in New Orleans, where my parents live and am generally allowed to stay free of charge.  Surely, if there is any time to toss away $500-$1000 on a Super Bowl ticket, it's then.  "Eh," I reasoned, "The seats will probably suck.  Better to watch on TV."  A World Series game?  Sure, if the Red Sox are involved.  Did I bother in 2004 or 2007?  No.  So, what is it about watching 20 or so horses I've never heard of race for two minutes that has me so pumped?  For one thing, Touch Gold.

In 1997, I took a summer job in New York before my senior year of college at Washington University.  I was crashing on the futon in my brother Adam's one-bedroom walk-up apartment in the East Village and ready for my first 21 summer in the city.  My brother's friend is a bit of horse aficianado and they invited me to attend the Belmont Stakes.  I had never been to a horse race before and now I was going to a Triple Crown race.  Not only that, the city was abuzz about Silver Charm, who had won the Derby and the Preakness and was the favorite to take the first Triple Crown since Affirmed in 1978.  We took a train to Belmont Park, which I had no idea was near the city, let alone virtually in Queens.  Until this point, I had refrained from raising one of my main concerns for fear of seeming uncool: "How much am I going to have to pay to get into the Belmont Stakes?"  Surely, Adam's friend had gotten us tickets in advance and I would have to come up with the cash eventually, somehow, but how much?  I mean, it's a Triple Crown race!  With an actual Triple Crown at stake.  Could it be $100?  $200?  $500?  We get to the ticket booth and the moment of truth arrives.  The ticket man says "Two dollars."  Excuse me?  Two bucks to get into the biggest sporting event the entire world is talking about?  God bless horse racing!  God bless America!

We get in and I am stunned to learn that the Belmont Stakes will not take place for another 6 hours.  What am I to do in the meantime?  Learn to bet the ponies, of course.  Adam and his friend try to teach me the racing form, but like any natural gambler, I am only interested in the big payoff.  Who cares if a particular horse is favored to win me $3 if I bet $2?  I want the horse that will set me for life if it wins!  50-1 odds?  Come on down!

By the time the showcase race rolled around, I had wised up a bit, but I still wasn't onboard with betting Silver Charm and his paltry payout.  I was conflicted because wouldn't it be more fun to bet on the horse that could make history, the one everyone was here to see?  Instead, I bet Touch Gold, who was among the favorites, but promised a bigger payday than Silver Charm.  Little did I know that I had made the best choice of all.  Not just because Touch Gold won, spoiling the Triple Crown bid, but because "Touch Gold" is so much more fun to say roughly 156 times in succession as he's turning into the homestretch with a two dollar ticket in your hand.  Caught up in the excitement of the moment, surrounded by thousands of people, the only natural thing to do is repeat the name of the horse over and over again throughout the race.  It was then that I was hooked.  But, that is only a small part of why this year's Kentucky Derby race excites me so much.  The other part belongs to my friend Jim, who I will be going with, along with another friend, Perry.  The story of Jim deserves its own blog post, coming soon.